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Integrative Organismal Biology

Oxford University Press (OUP)

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Integrative Organismal Biology's content profile, based on 15 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.01% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Comparative analysis of the neural and muscle systems in the subumbrella of hydrozoan jellyfish.

Norekian, T. P.; Moroz, L. L.

2026-08-31 zoology 10.64898/2026.08.30.748097 medRxiv
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Hydrozoa is a group of relatively simple animals with a well-developed nervous system. The nervous system in all hydrozoan medusae is highly conserved and includes outer and inner nerve rings at the bell margin, a neural network in the manubrium, and radial neural pathways that connect them. However, one element of the nervous system shows substantial variability among species: the subumbrella neural network. We examined the structure of the nervous and muscular systems in the subumbrella of 14 species of hydrozoan medusae. The main conclusion of this study is that the distribution of neural networks in the subumbrella strongly correlates with the distribution of smooth radial muscles. This correlation suggests that smooth radial muscles are the primary target of the subumbrella nervous system. Most species in the order Anthoathecata show a trend toward secondary loss of the neural networks and radial smooth muscle fibers in the subumbrella region, concentrating neural elements and smooth muscles only in the radial pathways along the radial canals. By contrast, all studied species in the order Leptothecata have neural networks in the subumbrella area, as well as radial smooth muscle fibers spread throughout the entire subumbrella region. The correlation between radial smooth muscles and the nervous system is also observed in the radial pathways along the radial canals. All species with thick bundles of smooth radial muscles along the radial canals have clearly defined, dense neural pathways running along or even embedded within the smooth muscle bundles.

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Insights for Estimating Animal Movement Step Selection Functions

Koshute, P.; Fagan, W. F.

2026-08-31 ecology 10.64898/2026.08.29.748012 medRxiv
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Ecologists remotely track movement steps of animals (e.g., via global positioning systems) and use step selection functions to study the effect of environmental factors upon their movement decisions. Constructing such functions requires pairing each observed step with some number of unobserved but feasible comparison steps. Larger numbers of comparison steps generally yield better estimates but also incur potentially challenging computational demands. Thus, it is important to determine an appropriate number of comparison steps. No established guidance exists for this decision. Here, we use simulated tracks to assess how many comparison steps are needed, fitting each set of steps to a conditional logistic regression model. We monitor errors in estimated effects for several classes of tracks, identifying the number of comparison steps for which mean relative absolute error in estimated effects is consistently low. By this criterion, 32 comparison steps per observed step are needed for our primary class of simulated tracks. Tracks in more homogeneous landscapes, tracks with shorter mean step lengths, or shorter tracks generally require more comparison steps (ranging from 64 to 128 per observed step) to achieve the same level of accuracy. Longer tracks generally require fewer comparison steps (16 per observed step). These results clearly demonstrate that the number of comparison steps influences how well step selection functions estimate covariate effects and provides initial direction in a research area that currently lacks quantitative guidance. Movement ecologists should take care when selecting the number of comparison steps paired with each observed step because those decisions matter.

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Southern (California) Sea Otter Population Status and Trends at San Nicolas Island, 2023-Winter 2026

Tomoleoni, J. A.; Yee, J. L.; Seacord, E.; Staedler, M. M.; Hatfield, B. B.; Carswell, L.; Fujii, J.; Bentall, G. B.; Konrad, L.; Young, C.; Tinker, M. T.; Bowen, L.

2026-08-31 ecology 10.64898/2026.08.28.747881 medRxiv
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The southern sea otter (Enhydra lutris nereis) population at San Nicolas Island, California, has been monitored annually since the translocation of 140 sea otters to the island was completed in 1990. Monitoring efforts have varied in frequency and method across years. In 2017, in accordance with the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2016, the U.S. Navy and the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service formally initiated a sea otter monitoring and research plan to determine the effects of military readiness activities on the growth or decline of the southern sea otter population at San Nicolas Island. The monitoring program, at its basic level, includes quarterly seasonal surveys of population abundance, distribution, and foraging activity. This report presents data from the program with a focus on the recent three years from winter 2023 through winter (February) 2026. From 2023 to 2026, we measured an 8.1-percent per annum decrease in population abundance (95-percent confidence interval =1.1-14.6 percent), with 106 total individuals counted as of February 2026. Historically, sea otter habitat usage at San Nicolas Island was concentrated on the west end of the island. Between 2017 and 2019, we observed increased seasonal usage of the north and south sides of the island, and in 2020-2022, a large (approximately 30-40 individuals) group of sea otters (raft) took up residence off the east end. During 2023-2026 the east end raft disappeared, and sea otters returned to their historical habitat usage patterns at the west end of the island. Foraging data were collected from summer 2023 to winter 2026 on a total of 461 foraging dives in 32 foraging bouts, and the majority of identified prey on successful dives (n=325) were sea urchins (124) followed by snails (48), bivalves (41) and crabs (23). One lobster and one octopus were also identified among the sea otter prey items. We combined these data with data from 2020-2022 to estimate overall energy intake rates that averaged 7.7 kilocalories per minute (95-percent credible interval =6.6-9.1 kilocalories per minute). These results can be useful to the planning of future monitoring and research of sea otters at San Nicolas Island.

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Integrating mouthguard kinematics, finite element brain strain, and plasma biomarkers to explore brain injury thresholds in collision sport

Hickey, J. W.; Chan, E. Y. K.; Evans, L. J.; O'Brien, W. T.; Xie, B.; Roberts, S. S. H.; Butler, S. E.; Ernst, J.; Zhou, W. J. Q.; Zimmerman, K. A.; Spitz, G.; Parker, T. D.; O'Brien, T. J.; Shultz, S. R.; Sharp, D. J.; Ghajari, M.; McDonald, S. J.

2026-08-31 sports medicine 10.64898/2026.08.26.26360869 medRxiv
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Purpose: Identifying head impacts linked to brain injury in sport remains challenging. Instrumented mouthguards quantify head-impact kinematics, and finite element (FE) modelling can transform these data into brain strain estimates, which may better reflect injury risk than kinematics alone. Here, we examined associations between mouthguard-measured kinematics, FE-derived strain, and plasma brain injury biomarker GFAP following head impacts. Methods: We analysed 41 video-verified impacts from male Australian football players, including 22 assessed for concussion (17 diagnosed) and 19 unassessed. Instrumented mouthguards recorded peak linear acceleration (PLA), peak rotational acceleration, and peak rotational velocity (PRV). Brain strain was estimated using the Imperial College FE brain model, and plasma GFAP was quantified using Simoa. Biomechanical-GFAP associations were examined using Spearman correlations and segmented regression. Results: For impacts overall, plasma GFAP was moderately correlated with PLA ({rho}=0.46, 95% CI: 0.20-0.66), PRV ({rho}=0.53, 95% CI: 0.20-0.78), and strain ({rho}=0.60, 95% CI: 0.32-0.80). Associations were stronger within concussion cases for strain ({rho}=0.86, 95% CI: 0.58-0.97) and PRV ({rho}=0.64, 95% CI: 0.15-0.93). Piecewise regression identified strain levels above which strain-GFAP relationships steepened across the whole-brain and brainstem. In concussion cases, supra-threshold brainstem strain was associated with greater symptoms. Conclusion: Finite element brain strain may better predict brain injury risk following a sport-related head impact than peak acceleration metrics. Stronger associations with plasma GFAP, particularly among concussion cases, and evidence of a biomechanical threshold, support the use of biomarker-informed strain measures in future risk modelling and the development of brain injury screening thresholds.

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A time-delayed mechanochemical feedback model reconciles stable maintenance and dynamic remodeling of cell-matrix adhesions

Matsumoto, E.; Yokoyama, S.; Matsui, T. S.; Araki, T.; Deguchi, S.

2026-08-30 biophysics 10.64898/2026.08.28.747716 medRxiv
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Focal adhesions maintain force-bearing attachment between cells and the extracellular matrix but can also undergo dynamic remodeling. Their assembly and actomyosin tension are coupled through mechanochemical feedback. The processes underlying this feedback are not instantaneous and therefore involve a time delay. However, how this delayed feedback gives rise to stable adhesion maintenance or dynamic remodeling remains unclear. Here, paired time-lapse measurements of vinculin fluorescence and traction stress revealed distinct local adhesion-force dynamics, including low-fluctuation and recurrent fluctuation patterns. To examine how these patterns could arise, we formulated a minimal mechanochemical model coupling focal adhesion assembly and actomyosin force through delayed reciprocal feedback. The model exhibited stable and oscillatory modes depending on feedback strength, the balance of opposing feedback effects, and the effective feedback delay. Bistability and hysteretic switching also occurred in a subset of parameter space, and the oscillation period followed a power-law relation with the delay. These results suggest that stable adhesion maintenance and dynamic remodeling can emerge from a common mechanochemical feedback architecture.

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Plasma and follicular fluid concentrations of carotenoids, tocopherols and retinol in a French population of women undergoing in vitro fertilization: a monocentric non-interventional study

Ndiaye, A.; Thiebaut, A. C. M.; Borel, P.; Sabran, C.; Elis, S.; Guerif, F.; Maillard, V.

2026-09-01 sexual and reproductive health 10.64898/2026.08.28.26360803 medRxiv
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The distribution of fat-soluble compounds (including antioxidants) in follicular fluid (FF) remains sparsely documented in relation to in vitro fertilization (IVF) outcomes and existing studies have reported diverging associations. This study aimed to describe plasma and FF concentrations of fat-soluble micronutrients in women undergoing IVF and to analyze their adjusted associations with ovarian function, embryo development and pregnancy outcomes. In 2021-2022, plasma and FF samples were collected from 82 women (first IVF cycle) at oocyte puncture, along with lifestyle data covering the three preceding months. Eleven compounds (two tocopherols, three xanthophylls, five carotenes and retinol) were quantified. All compounds were detected in both compartments (lowest in FF) except phytoene, undetectable in FF. Plasma and FF -tocopherol concentrations were positively associated with plasma estradiol levels before oocyte puncture (both p<0.01) while FF -carotene and lycopene were inversely associated with plasma progesterone concentrations (p=0.01 and 0.02, respectively). Plasma phytofluene and phytoene were positively associated with mature oocyte rate (p=0.03 and p=0.01, respectively), while FF retinol was negatively associated (p=0.03). Carotenes, tocopherols and retinol were inversely associated with later IVF outcomes: fertilization rate (p<0.001 for plasma g-tocopherol, 0.02 for FF retinol), top-quality embryo (p=0.02 for plasma phytofluene), biochemical pregnancy at day 7 post-embryo transfer (p=0.05 for plasma -tocopherol, 0.02 for plasma -carotene), clinical pregnancy (p=0.03 for plasma -tocopherol, 0.01 for plasma phytoene) and live birth (p=0.04 for plasma -tocopherol, 0.02 for plasma phytoene). Plasma and FF g-tocopherol were positively associated with embryo fragmentation (both p<0.05). Finally, among xanthophylls, only plasma {beta}-cryptoxanthin was positively associated with plasma progesterone concentrations (p=0.02). Our findings of heterogeneous associations between tocopherols, carotenes, retinol and IVF outcomes across the stages of IVF suggest a beneficial effect limited to early outcomes and support a complex and context-dependent role of these compounds in female reproduction. This manuscript has been submitted to PlosOne on August 19, 2026.

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Increasing Lung Cancer Screening Participation Using an Informational Video Nudge: A Randomized Feasibility Trial

Wain, K. F.; Carroll, N. M.; Maclennan, A. J.; Hixon, B.; Steiner, J.; Ritzwoller, D. P.

2026-09-01 health systems and quality improvement 10.64898/2026.08.28.26361654 medRxiv
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Purpose: Lung cancer screening (LCS) with low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) reduces lung cancer mortality, yet screening participation remains low. We evaluated whether a brief informational video nudge delivered immediately before a scheduled clinical encounter increased LCS ordering and baseline LCS completion. Patients and Methods: We conducted a randomized feasibility trial within Kaiser Permanente Colorado from March through October 2025. LCS-eligible patients with an upcoming primary care or pulmonology appointment were assigned to intervention or usual care based on birth month. Intervention patients were split into two group, a group who received the LCS informational video nudge via text message within 24 hours of an eligible appointment; and second group who received the text plus a QR code video link during appointment rooming. Outcomes included LCS orders, baseline LCS-LDCT completion, and video engagement. Multivariable logistic regression was used to evaluate factors associated with LCS ordering. Results: Among 1,093 patients, 549 were assigned to intervention and 544 to usual care. Intervention patients were more likely to receive an LCS order within 1 day of their appointment (22.6% vs 16.4%; p=.010) and any time during follow-up (32.6% vs 24.1%; p=.002). Baseline LCS-LDCT completion was 51% higher in the intervention group, although the difference was not statistically significant (8.6% vs 5.7%; p=.078). Among the intervention group, 93 individuals (17%) viewed the video, generating 114 total views, and viewers watched an average of 79% of the video. Most views (82.5%) occurred through text-message delivery rather than QR codes. Conclusion: A brief, low-burden LCS informational video delivered immediately before a clinical encounter and integrated into existing workflows significantly increased LCS ordering and was associated with higher screening completion. Timely, scalable digital nudges may provide an effective strategy for improving LCS participation. Based on the observed effectiveness, feasibility, and efficiency of the intervention, KPCO incorporated the behavioral nudge into standard clinical care in February 2026.

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People living with multiple long-term conditions have different pathways of unscheduled care in hospital: findings from an analysis of routinely-collected clinical data

Witham, M.; Evison, F.; Bellass, S.; Cooper, R.; Gallier, S.; Pretorius, S.; Sapey, E.; Suklan, J.; Sayer, A. A.

2026-09-01 health informatics 10.64898/2026.08.28.26361696 medRxiv
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Study Objective Little is known about where in hospital care for multiple long-term conditions (MLTC) is delivered. We aimed to describe pathways of care (ward transfers) and outcomes for people admitted to hospital for unscheduled care by MLTC status and other key sociodemographic characteristics. Design and setting Analysis of routinely-collected electronic health records from a large acute UK hospital. Participants Adult unscheduled care admissions from 1st July 2018 to 30th June 2019. The presence of two or more of 59 long-term conditions was ascertained using ICD-10 codes from previous hospital discharges. Main outcome measures Markov state transition probabilities were derived for ward moves and compared for MLTC vs no MLTC, age, sex, ethnicity and neighbourhood deprivation. Outcomes (length of stay, death, readmission, move from definitive ward) and time spent in emergency and assessment departments were compared between subgroups. Results A total of 33,252 adults, mean age 56.0 (SD 21.9) years were analysed; 14,834 (42.4%) had MLTC. People with MLTC were more likely to die in hospital (4.2 vs 1.9%, p<0.001), transfer to internal medicine wards or older peoples medicine wards, were less likely to transfer to surgical wards, had longer median length of stay (1.83 vs 0.69 days, p<0.001), stayed longer in acute medical units (15.5 vs 9.6 hours, p<0.001), and were more likely to move from their definitive ward (18.2 vs 16.4%, p=0.002). Conclusion Unscheduled hospital care pathways are complex and differ for people with MLTC, who have worse outcomes and may be less likely to receive optimal care.

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Genome Profiling of Actionable Cancer Targets (NYU LG-PACT) for Clinical Patient Molecular Diagnostics and Treatment

Yang, Y.; Vasudevaraja, V.; Serrano, J.; Mohamed, H.; Kelly, S.; Jour, G.; Gindin, T.; Park, K.; Jones, D.; Feng, X.; Pinnell, J.; Mclennan, S.; Tin, M. Y.; Tsirigos, A.; Snuderl, M.; Wrzeszczynski, K. O.

2026-09-01 oncology 10.64898/2026.08.27.26361341 medRxiv
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Next-generation sequencing (NGS) for the detection of somatic variants has become the method of choice in a variety of molecular oncology fields and in the clinic. Its use ranges from sequencing entire tumor genomes and transcriptomes to targeted clinical diagnostic gene panels. The NYU Langone Genome PACT (Profiling of Actionable Cancer Targets, LG-PACT) assay is a qualitative in vitro diagnostic test that uses targeted next generation sequencing (NGS) of formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded (FFPE) tumor tissue matched with normal specimens from patients to detect gene alterations in a targeted panel covering 606 genes and the TERT promoter. Indications for testing are cancer (solid tumors and hematological malignancies) where a mutational profile from multiple genes would be informative for disease stratification, prognosis, or treatment options including targeted therapies and eligibility for clinical trials. The test is intended to provide information on somatic mutations including point mutations, small insertions/deletions (indels), and copy number aberrations for diagnostic and treatment decisions. LG-PACT is a United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) cleared diagnostic test (510K: K202304). The clinical interpretation of sequencing data of molecular tumor markers from NGS encompasses automated variant calling tools with human interpretation. This final mostly manual review of data step is intensive, involving highly trained scientists, encompassing literature review, interpretation and clinical tier classification by pathologists, who then provide a complete molecular diagnostic report to the treating oncologists. We provide analysis of 1339 clinical genomic profiles from 31 different cancers and their subtypes, comprising of central nervous system (CNS) 792 (59%) cases (incl. meningioma, glioma and glioblastoma), with 267 (20%) cases predominantly of lung, pancreatic and colorectal and 280 of others (21%). Here, we present the technical challenges of validating an NGS oncological diagnostic targeted assay for clinical grade accuracy and sensitivity for patient care. We show how copy number alterations provide a more comprehensive description of the tumors genomic profile. We then outline the utility of targeted panel sequencing based on certified pathologist selection of reportable variants for our current patient cohort. Where analysis of variant detection has led to 49.4% (661/1339) of our clinical tumor samples containing mutations in known therapy targeted genes, 35.6% (477/1339) with mutation detected in other genes, and 15% (201/1339) cases being negative.

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Returning APOE and pTau-217 Results: the eSMARTER Randomized Noninferiority Clinical Trial

Langbaum, J. B.; Erickson, C. M.; Langlois, C.; Wood, E. M.; Egleston, B. L.; Harkins, K.; Mim, R.; John, S.; Brown, C.; Brown, S.; Howe, S.; Cacioppo, C.; Eppelmann, L.; Enos, J.; Salata, H.; DeSantiago, D.; Largent, E. A.; Reiman, E. M.; Denkinger, M. N.; Ashton, N. J.; Roberts, J. S.; Karlawish, J.; Bradbury, A. R.

2026-09-01 neurology 10.64898/2026.08.27.26361535 medRxiv
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Importance: Patients are increasingly learning Alzheimers disease (AD) genetic and biomarker results through electronic health portals. Evaluation of alternative scalable delivery models for return of AD risk information is needed to best support patient understanding and psychological well-being. Objective: To determine whether a patient-centered digital platform is comparable to clinician-mediated telehealth sessions for returning APOE and plasma pTau-217 results on outcomes of knowledge and psychological well-being. Design: The Evaluation of Self-Mediated Alternatives for Risk Testing Education and Return of Results (eSMARTER) study was a noninferiority trial of a patient-centered digital platform compared to clinician-mediated disclosure of APOE genotype and optional pTau-217 disclosure. Setting: Decentralized, fully remote trial enrolled participants in the contiguous United States (U.S.) between October 2024 and February 2025, with follow-up completed in November 2025. Participants: Eligible participants were aged 60-80 and had previously undergone APOE genotyping (without disclosure) via the GeneMatch program, passed psychological screening, had internet access, and were English-speaking. Interventions: Participants were randomized, 2:1, to the eSMARTER digital platform or clinician-mediated disclosure of APOE genotype. Following the 6-month post-APOE assessment, participants were offered optional pTau-217 disclosure via the same randomized modality. Main Outcomes and Measures: Primary outcomes at 1-7 days following APOE disclosure included changes in anxiety, disease-specific distress, and AD-related knowledge within a priori non-inferiority margins. Results: 674 persons (mean [SD] age 68 [4.7] years; 451 [67%] female; mean [SD] telephone MoCA=19 [2]) were eligible and provided demographic information. 651 participants were randomized to clinician-mediated (n=216) or digital disclosure (n=435) and completed APOE disclosure (66 [10%] APOE4 homozygotes, 377 [58%] heterozygotes, 208 [32%] non-carriers). 604 participants completed the study; 500 completed optional pTau-217 disclosure. Baseline characteristics were balanced across groups. At 1-7 days following APOE disclosure, scores on AD-related knowledge, PROMIS Anxiety, and disease-specific distress measures met non-inferiority. Conclusions and Relevance: Disclosure of APOE genotype by the eSMARTER digital platform is non-inferior to clinician-mediated telehealth disclosure. No significant between group differences were found following disclosure of pTau-217 results. Together, these results suggest that this digital platform may provide an evidence-based scalable approach for returning AD genetic and biomarker results.

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Evaluating Cognitive Impact of Traumatic Brain Injury and Risk for Post-Traumatic Epilepsy

Zink, T.; Noren, H.; Valdivia, D.; Yohn, C.; Hundal, J.; Chen, S.; Scarisbrick, D.; Sun, H.

2026-09-01 neurology 10.64898/2026.08.30.26361760 medRxiv
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Abstract: Objective: Post-traumatic epilepsy (PTE) is a common sequela of traumatic brain injury (TBI). Research indicates that individuals with PTE tend to experience greater cognitive difficulties compared to those with TBI alone. However, it is plausible that a distinct cognitive profile exists that distinguishes between TBI cases with and without PTE. We aimed to identify longitudinal changes in cognitive measures among TBI patients to better assess the changes associated with developing PTE. Setting: Outpatient. Participants: Prospective subjects who had suffered TBI within 6 months post-injury (TBI-6M, n=32), retrospective subjects with pre-existing PTE diagnoses (PTE, n=20), and healthy control subjects (HC, n=41). Design: We examined cognitive performance for TBI patients within 6 months post-injury, then again within 12 months (TBI-12M, n=26), and within 18-months (TBI-18M, n=25), and compared this with cognitive performance among HC and PTE. Main Measures: Cognitive tests administered yielded 15 test components for analysis. We utilized linear mixed effects modeling to examine cohort-level differences cognitive function. Results: 11/15 tests showed a significant performance deficit in the PTE subjects compared to HC. TBI-6M was not significantly different from the PTE subjects; with time, 9/15 tests showed some degree of recovery in TBI subjects. Tests for information processing speed/working memory and executive function showed strong recovery (TBI-6M vs. TBI-18M, SDMT written: p<0.0001, SDMT oral and COWAT: p<0.001). Tests for visual attention/working memory also showed a smaller but significant recovery (TBI-18M vs. PTE, p<0.05). By contrast, tests for verbal memory [HVLT-R Delayed Recall] showed chronic impairment in TBI (TBI-18M vs HC, p<0.0001). TBI subjects generally trend towards recovery in cognitive performance post-TBI. Conclusions: Information processing speed/working memory are strong indicators for TBI recovery, while auditory learning/memory shows chronic impairment. The stagnation of recovery in cognitive domains typically characterized by robust recovery may correlate with an elevated risk of developing PTE.

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Usability, acceptability and feasibility of continuous glucose monitoring among children and adolescents with type 1 diabetes in Kenya

Amolo, P.; Mungai, L.; Karume, A. K.; Kibugi, J.; Mwende, W.; Botella, N.; Haldane, C.; Kamau, Y.; Marban-Castro, E.

2026-09-01 endocrinology 10.64898/2026.08.27.26361447 medRxiv
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Introduction Continuous Glucose Monitoring (CGM) is considered standard care in high-income countries. There is, however, limited published evidence on CGM use in low- and middle-income countries. The purpose of this study was to assess the usability, acceptability, and feasibility of CGM use among people living with type 1 diabetes (T1D) and caregivers in a low-resource setting. Research Design and Methods This prospective study conducted at the Kenyatta National Hospital purposively enrolled persons aged 4-25 years who had been on management for T1D for at least six months, and caregivers of those under 18 years. Fourty youth living with T1D used CGM for three months in place of self monitoring of blood glucose (SMBG). The System Usability Scale (SUS), a Theoretical Framework of Acceptability-based questionnaire, the Diabetes Distress Scale (DDS), the Glucose Monitoring Satisfaction Survey (GMSS), and a feasibility survey were administered. Outcomes were summarized descriptively, including means, medians, and frequencies using R statistical software. Results The median SUS score was 98.8 (IQR 92.5-100.0). Acceptability was high, and the median total GMSS score improved from 3.73 to 4.73. Among adolescents and adults, the median overall DDS score reduced from 1.54 to 1.36, with reductions in scores in all domains, except for hypoglycemia distress which increased, and physician distress which remained low. Among caregivers, the median overall DDS score declined from 2.05 (moderate distress) to 1.90 (low distress), with modest reductions in teen management and parent-teen relationship distress and a slight increase in personal distress. Median CGM active wear time was 89%. Conclusion This study comprehensively evaluated CGM across usability, acceptability, and feasibility outcomes, with the findings supporting the integration of CGM into routine diabetes management in low-resource settings. The short follow-up period, however, may not capture changing perceptions or long-term adherence.

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Persistence of psychotic experiences and clinical outcomes in adolescents at familial high risk of schizophrenia or bipolar disorder: The Danish High Risk and Resilience Study

Rohd, S. B.; Thorup, A. A.; Wilms, M.; Schiavon, M.; Streyma, D. H. B.; Laursen, A. F.; Bundgaard, A. F.; Sondergaard, A.; Krantz, M. F.; Veddum, L.; Hjorthoj, C.; Greve, A.; Mors, O.; Nordentoft, M.; Hemager, N.; Gregersen, M.

2026-09-01 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.08.27.26361507 medRxiv
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Objective: This study examined the prevalence of psychotic experiences (PE) and how early onset and persistence of PE contribute to risk and severity of mental disorders in adolescents at familial high-risk of schizophrenia (FHR-SZ) or bipolar disorder (FHR-BP) and adolescents from a population-based control group (PBC). Methods: This is the second follow-up of a nationwide cohort study including 522 children at FHR-SZ (N=202), FHR-BP (N=120), and PBC (N=200). Participants were assessed at ages 7, 11, and 15 using a semi-structured interview to evaluate PE and mental disorders. Results: At age 15, adolescents at FHR-SZ reported more PE than PBC over the past six months (current) and the past four years, while adolescents at FHR-BP only reported more current PE. PE reported at two or three timepoints (persistent PE) predicted any Axis I disorder in mid-adolescence, corresponding to three- (OR 2.9, 95% CI [1.5-5.7]) and 21-fold (OR 21.4, 95% CI [2.8-162.3]) increased risks, respectively. Persistent PE also predicted multimorbidity, with three- (OR 2.8, 95% CI [1.0-7.6]) and four-fold (OR 4.1, 95% CI [1.2-14.1]) increased risks, respectively. This was after adjustment for sex, early mental disorders, and familial risk. Conclusions: This study demonstrates a strong link between persistent PE and mid-adolescence mental disorders. Our findings emphasize PE as important risk markers for mental disorders during mid-adolescence and highlight the importance of monitoring children with PE before age 7 who develop persistent symptoms.

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Long-term outcomes of cruciate ligament injury: evidence from New Zealand linked register data

Pryymachenko, Y.; Wilson, R.; Abbott, J. H.

2026-09-01 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.08.27.26361565 medRxiv
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Objectives To analyse the long-term effects of a cruciate ligament (CL) injury on health and socioeconomic outcomes. Methods We used a comprehensive national injury insurance database to identify CL injuries occurring in New Zealand between 2009 and 2022, and employed a doubly robust staggered difference-in-differences research design to identify the effects of these injuries on outcomes up to 10 years after injury. The outcomes of interest were healthcare use (hospitalisations, emergency department visits, medications, knee replacement surgery for osteoarthritis), associated healthcare costs, and labour market outcomes (employment rates, income, and government benefit payments). Results We identified 61 344 CL injuries for inclusion in the analysis. Over 10-year follow-up, a CL injury resulted in increased healthcare use (0.6 more hospitalizations [95%CI 0.4 to 0.7], 1.7 more days spent in hospital [95%CI 1.3 to 2.1], 0.4 more emergency department visits [95%CI 0.3 to 0.6], 2.5 more outpatient visits [95%CI 1.8 to 3.2], and 4.7 more medications dispensed [95%CI -1.8 to 11.2]) and public healthcare costs ($7 537; 95%CI 5 888 to 9 186), reduced income (-$6 060; 95%CI -11 644 to -475), and increased benefit payments ($1 152; 95%CI 542 to 1 761). Conclusion CL injuries have long-term impacts on healthcare use and socioeconomic outcomes. Strategies to reduce the incidence of CL injuries have the potential to realise large health and economic benefits.

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A Measurement-Based Care Strategy for Buprenorphine-Naloxone Treatment (Bup-MBC): Development of an EHR-Integrated Intervention

Reese, T.; Audet, C.; Ancker, J.; Wright, A.; Marcovitz, D.; Kast, K. A.; Bridges, J.; Tindle, H.; Shah, M.; von Horn, A.; Matheny, M. E.

2026-09-01 addiction medicine 10.64898/2026.08.27.26361539 medRxiv
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Introduction: Risk of recurrent opioid use during buprenorphine-naloxone (bup-nx) treatment is dynamic and remains elevated after initiation, with vulnerability shaped in part by treatment intensity and gaps between visits, yet routine outpatient care relies on episodic encounters and retrospective data. This mismatch can delay recognition of emerging instability and limit timely treatment adjustments. This paper reports the development and specification of an intervention strategy to address this mismatch. Methods: We used a structured, multi-phase design process to specify and configure a measurement-based care (MBC) strategy for bup-nx treatment (Bup-MBC) in outpatient addiction clinics through three phases: (1) a systematic review of patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) for substance use treatment; (2) a qualitative needs assessment using the Theoretical Domains Framework and COM-B (Capability, Opportunity, Motivation-Behavior) model to identify gaps in risk monitoring, agency, and trust; and (3) iterative co-design with multidisciplinary clinicians to refine workflow fit and trust-preserving use of data. Patients informed item and feedback content during the needs assessment but did not participate in the co-design cycles. Results: Bup-MBC integrates (1) brief between-visit PROMs (e.g., withdrawal, craving, adherence); (2) immediate non-punitive patient feedback; (3) clinician-facing summaries and non-directive prompts in the electronic health record (EHR); and (4) an opt-in between-visit outreach pathway with predefined safety triggers, all configured within existing EHR and patient portal infrastructure. It targets patient and clinician capability to recognize changes in risk, opportunity for action through structured monitoring and visit preparation, and trust and agency through non-punitive communication, without adding substantial burden. The full measure set, severity bands, and question-to-action map are provided as supplementary material. Key trade-offs included prioritizing single-item measures for feasibility, balancing opt-in outreach with safety overrides, and assuming routine clinician use of summaries. Conclusion: This development study specifies an EHR-integrated MBC strategy for outpatient bup-nx treatment. As single-center design work with co-design limited to clinicians and delivery contingent on portal or text-message access, its outputs are hypotheses about mechanism and fit rather than demonstrated effects. Feasibility studies are needed to evaluate uptake, acceptability, workflow fit, and effects on treatment.

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Dynamic Clinical States and Transitions During the First 72 Hours of Intensive Care After Acute Stroke

LEI, P.; XU, Y.; ZHANG, Y.

2026-09-01 intensive care and critical care medicine 10.64898/2026.08.30.26361738 medRxiv
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Background: The condition of a patient with acute stroke often changes within hours of ICU admission. Prognostic work here targets fixed endpoints predicted from admission data, and trajectory phenotyping assigns one label per patient. We used longitudinal ICU data to identify interpretable dynamic clinical states, characterize transitions between them, and relate the current state to later events. Methods: Retrospective cohort study of 6368 adults with acute stroke in MIMIC IV v3.1. The first 72 h were divided into twelve 6-hour windows, and a hidden Markov model was fitted to 21 neurological, physiological and organ support variables. State number was chosen against criteria fixed before fitting: statistical fit, restart stability, state occupancy and clinical interpretability. Generalized estimating equations related the current state to new mechanical ventilation and vasopressor use within 12 h, and to ICU death within 72 h. Eleven sensitivity analyses assessed the robustness of the state solution. Results: Four states were selected: neurologically preserved-low support, neurological impairment low support, impairment renal dysfunction and impairment-respiratory support (63.3%, 7.8%, 11.8% and 17.1% of windows). Within 72 h, 40.3% of patients changed state at least once, and transitions ran in both directions rather than along a single severity gradient. States were identified without outcome data, yet ICU mortality by last state ranged from 2.9% to 43.9%. Adjusted for age, sex, subtype and Charlson index, the current state remained associated with organ-support escalation and death. State prevalence differed by at most 1.1 percentage points between training and test sets, and 10 of 11 sensitivity analyses gave a stable four-state solution (ARI 0.754 0.955). Conclusions: The early ICU course of acute stroke can be represented as movement among a small number of clinically interpretable states. The representation was reproducible in a held out set and across admission eras, but requires validation in an independent database before any clinical use.

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Genotype-guided isoniazid dosing harmonizes drug exposure in 3HP tuberculosis preventive therapy

da Silva, K.; Sarkodie, S.; Marques, K.; Vieira, P.; Oliveira, R. D. d.; Pereira dos Santos, P. C.; Moreira Puga, M. A.; Costa, A. G.; Gregorio Machado, J. P.; Spener-Gomes, R.; Yang, E.; Savic, R.; Cordeiro-Santos, M.; Croda, J.; Andrews, J. R.

2026-09-01 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.08.27.26360825 medRxiv
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Background: Polymorphisms in the N-acetyltransferase 2 (NAT2) gene explain much of the interindividual variation in isoniazid (INH) metabolism and determine risk of toxicities. However, there is limited evidence to guide INH dose adjustment according to the NAT2 acetylator profile in weekly rifapentine-INH tuberculosis preventive therapy (TPT). Methods: In a prospective, multicenter, within-subject PK trial (NCT05413551), adults initiating 3HP in Brazil were assigned genotype-guided INH doses (slow: 5 mg/kg <=300 mg; intermediate: 15 mg/kg <=900 mg; rapid: 25 mg/kg <=1,500 mg) alongside a standard 900 mg flat dose on an alternate occasion. AUC0-24 and C24 were estimated from serial blood samples; a two-compartment Michaelis-Menten population PK model characterized NAT2 effects on clearance. Results: Among 228 participants, 47.4% (108/228) were intermediate, 43.4% (99/228) slow, and 9.2% (21/228) rapid acetylators. Genotype-guided dosing reduced AUC0-24 variability approximately two-fold versus standard dosing (CV 58.8% vs 76.8%) and increased exposure uniformity (median AUC0-24 27.2 [IQR 18.8-41.3] vs 43.2 [27.3-71.0] mg h/L). Among slow acetylators, C24 >0.15 ug/mL decreased from 27/42 (64%) with standard dosing to 1/42 (2%) with genotype-guided dosing (P<0.0001). In 104 participants with intensive PK sampling, rapid acetylators receiving guided doses had AUC0-24 similar to standard-dose intermediate acetylators (42.8 vs 39.5 mg h/L; P=.63). Monte Carlo simulations supported doses of 600, 900, and 1,200 mg for slow, intermediate, and rapid acetylators, respectively. Conclusions: NAT2-guided isoniazid dosing reduced variation in drug levels, averting very low and high AUC and C24. These findings inform genotype-stratified dosing of INH for TPT, which might reduce toxicities and improve outcomes.

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Predicting COVID-19 hospitalisation and common disease risk from comorbid diagnoses in 13 million individuals

Liu, H.; Mizani, M. A.; Zhao, Y.; Wood, A.; Inouye, M.; Price, A. L.; Jiang, X.; CVD-COVID-UK/COVID-IMPACT Consortium,

2026-09-01 health informatics 10.64898/2026.08.27.26361302 medRxiv
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Predicting disease risk from prior diagnoses is fundamental to clinical decision-making, particularly during health emergencies such as the COVID-19 pandemic, when individuals with long-term conditions may be disproportionately vulnerable to adverse outcomes. Despite intense interest in developing models to predict disease risk from prior diagnoses (1-3), most prediction models do not estimate effects of each prior diagnosis on disease risk conditional on other diagnoses, limiting interpretability and clinical utility. We developed the Comorbidity Risk Score (CRS), trained on 13 million individuals (age 40-69) from linked electronic health record (EHR) datasets of the entire population of England, to predict COVID-19 hospitalisation and 87 other disease outcomes. CRS was trained at close to saturated sample size and precisely estimated the effects of 212 prior diagnoses on the 88 disease outcomes, conditional on all other prior diagnoses. Correlations of CRS effect sizes across outcomes (e.g. 0.76 for myocardial infarction vs. hyperlipidaemia) matched the corresponding genetic correlations (e.g. 0.79 for myocardial infarction vs. hyperlipidaemia), confirming that comorbidity architectures capture disease aetiology. On average, CRS identified 5% of the population with 3.4-fold higher disease risk, including myocardial infarction (4.4-fold), lung cancer (6.5-fold), and COVID-19 hospitalisation (6.3-fold). Using prior diagnoses alone, CRS outperformed state-of-the-art clinical COVID-19 models (4). Furthermore, CRS (N=13 million) substantially outperformed state-of-the-art AI (1) (N=0.5 million) and linear (3) (N=0.5 million) models in predicting disease risk, suggesting that training sample size outweighs model complexity. CRS attained near-perfect transferability across self-reported ethnicities (e.g., Black vs. White: AUROC ratio = 97.3%). Finally, CRS distinguished independently predictive comorbidities from indirect associations, e.g., lipid metabolism disorder was a strong predictor of myocardial infarction risk but not ischaemic stroke, after conditioning on other prior diagnoses. In conclusion, CRS provides a comprehensive resource for understanding the impact of comorbidities on COVID-19 and other future diseases, revealing disease aetiology while enabling powerful prediction of disease risk.

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PCGS: biomarker and risk group identification for Pediatric Cancers via explainable Graph neural networks with Shapley values

Shi, Z.; Budhkar, A.; Amin, W.; Pollok, K. E.; Su, J.; Huang, K.

2026-09-01 health informatics 10.64898/2026.08.27.26361540 medRxiv
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Improvements in data availability, sharing, and integration, together with the development of explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) techniques, are advancing precision medicine for pediatric cancer by facilitating diagnosis, biomarker discovery, and drug development. Data sharing commons and initiatives like the Childhood Cancer Data Initiative (CCDI) provide access to pediatric-specific genomic and clinical data cohorts and improve data availability for pediatric cancer research. Based on CCDI, a scalable AI platform, Graph Artificial Intelligence for Pediatric Oncology (GAIPO), integrates various data modalities from bulk and single-cell omics data to clinical information. Such multi-modal data facilitates the training and development of advanced XAI models for pediatric cancers. We then developed an end-to-end multi-modality framework, PCGS, for pediatric cancer by incorporating omics-specific representation learning via GNN models with cross-attention fusion and multi-objective learning for downstream tasks such as classification, clustering, and survival analysis. This framework outperforms previous supervised multi-omics integration baseline approaches based on glioma and Wilms tumor cohorts and enables GNN model explainability via Shapley value-based feature attribution approaches to explain the contributions of gene-level features across various biomedical tasks, including classification and survival. Given specific background samples (e.g., age groups, sex, grades) as baselines, this explainable GNN model estimates and ranks the importance scores for input features from each omics modality. It identifies background-specific key features for biomarker discovery, risk group identification, and survival analysis in glioma and Wilms tumor, with potential applicability to other pediatric cancers.

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Spatial Geometry and Prevalence of Tunneling and Undermining in Pressure Ulcers

Frade, S.; Tunyiswa, Z.; Shin, M.; Dirks, R.

2026-09-01 dermatology 10.64898/2026.08.28.26361615 medRxiv
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Background: Pressure ulcers often develop complex three-dimensional morphologies that extend beyond the visible wound surface. Subsurface extensions such as tunneling and undermining create hidden cavities that complicate clinical assessment and wound management. Despite their clinical relevance, the prevalence and spatial characteristics of these subsurface wound morphologies have not been well characterized at scale. Methods: We performed a registry-based analysis using data from the LIFT-OFF Pressure Ulcer Registry, which captures longitudinal clinical documentation of pressure ulcers treated in routine care. The registry included approximately 18,000 patients with 32,000 documented pressure ulcers. Spatial characteristics of tunneling and undermining were analyzed using measurements recorded during routine wound assessments, including tract length, direction, and circumferential extent. Directional and circumferential distributions of subsurface defects were examined to characterize wound geometry. Results: Tunneling was present in 764 of 14,700 full-thickness pressure ulcers (5.2%), whereas undermining occurred in 2,293 wounds (15.6%). Tunneling tracts were typically short and exhibited directional clustering relative to the wound bed. In contrast, undermining demonstrated broader circumferential distributions and frequently involved larger subsurface separations beneath the wound margin. Both morphologies demonstrated distinct spatial patterns across anatomical locations and wound stages. Conclusion: Tunneling and undermining are common subsurface features of pressure ulcers and exhibit distinct spatial geometries. Whereas tunneling manifests as directional tract-like extensions, undermining more frequently produces circumferential tissue separation beneath wound margins. Improved characterization of subsurface wound architecture may enhance assessment of wound complexity and provide information not captured by surface measurements alone. Future studies should evaluate whether these features contribute to wound severity assessment, prognosis, and risk stratification.